PS Triple: $400 by Christmas? Believe!

Here is some hot original content for you folks. I have done a bit of investigative journalism for the monk-blog project, and I believe that I now have enough evidence to say that the Triple is going to be dropped in price to 400 or 450 by this holiday season. Here is my proof:
1. A greatly reduced-price blue laser diode is going to roll out by June. This key component is estimated to have cost around 80 bucks at the PS3's launch. The new models are going to be a dirt cheap 900 yen/$7.59.
2. Removing the emotion engine chip to provide software-based instead of hardware-based backwards compatability should cut costs by about $30
3. Sony will start using a smaller 65nm instead of 90nm Cell chip that will drive down costs also, though the exact amount I have been unable to ascertain.
4. The Euro PS3 uses a much simpler, more streamlined motherboard. We can expect this to be used here too when the officially dump the Emotion Engine.
5. The HD Format war is just about over , and Blu Ray has won, finally avenging beta-max's earlier defeat. I have to wonder if Blu Ray will force HD-DVD to sign it's surrender papers in the same train car that beta max/VHS armistice was signed in. Sony earns licensing fees on every Blu Ray disc sold, and this gives them a more free hand in subsidizing the PS3 down to a mass-market price.
6. I'm sure there have been other reduced costs, improved efficiencies and all sorts of economies of scale factors that I haven't take in to account that have made the PS3 cheaper to produce than it was at launch.
There have been a lot of economists and marketing firms, and even some Sony reps predicting a price cut this year, so my research isn't anything too revolutionary. Sony of course denies any sort of price cut talk, but naturally you don't announce a price cut until it is about to happen.
The PS Triple has really been experiencing some lukewarm sales, and if Sony wants to execute it's Blu Ray strategy, it needs to move more units. So a price cut isn't just an option this holiday, it is necessary for PS3 to keep up in this console war. Sony has a lot of big guns coming out this fall: Heavenly Sword, Uncharted, Ratchet and Clank, Devil May Cry 4, GTA IV, LittleBigPlanet, Home, a price drop around October could give Sony a huge shot in the arm. Of course, Microsoft should be expected to fire back with a price drop it's own, but arguably there are more people waiting on a price drop for the Triple than there is for the Circle.
Monk-Blog is bullish on the PS3's prospects this holiday season. $400 PS Triple by Christmas? BELIEVE. And just remember the blog where you heard it first.










