October NPDs: Good News for PS3 Fans Who Like Bad News


HW Results
Wii 519K
Nintendo DS 458K
Xbox 360 366K
PSP 286K
PlayStation 2 184K
PlayStation 3 121K
Top 10 SW
Rank # Units
360 HALO 3 * MICROSOFT (CORP) SEP 2007 MATURE (M) 1 433.8K
360 GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK W/ GUITACTIVISION (CORP) OCT 2007 TEEN (T) 2 383.2K
WII GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK W/ GUITACTIVISION (CORP) OCT 2007 TEEN (T) 3 286.3K
PS2 GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK W/ GUITACTIVISION (CORP) OCT 2007 TEEN (T) 4 271.1K
NDS LEGEND OF ZELDA: PHANTOM HOURGLASS NINTENDO OF AMERICA SEP 2007 EVERYONE (E) 5 262.8K
WII PLAY W/ REMOTE NINTENDO OF AMERICA FEB 2007 EVERYONE (E) 6 239.7K
360 HALF LIFE 2: EPISODE 2 THE ORANGE BOX ELECTRONIC ARTS OCT 2007 MATURE (M) 7 238.4K
PS2 GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK ACTIVISION (CORP) OCT 2007 TEEN (T) 8 231.7K
PS2 FIFA SOCCER 08 ELECTRONIC ARTS OCT 2007 EVERYONE (E) 9 129.7K
NDS BRAIN AGE 2: MORE TRAINING IN MINUTES A NINTENDO OF AMERICA AUG 2007 EVERYONE (E) 10 116.9K
More SW:
NR Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (PS3) 105,800
NR Final Fantasy Tactics: The War of the Lions (PSP) 98,100
NR Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction (PS3) 74,500
NR Project Gotham Racing 4 (Xbox 360) 38,300
[360 Ace Combat 6] = 92.5K
[360 Guitar Hero III] = 490.9K
[360 Halo 3] = 394.5K
[360 The Orange Box] = 238.4K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] = 262.8K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] = 502.7K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] = 74.5K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] = 105.8K
[WII Guitar Hero III] = 286.3K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] = 45.2K
As you can see, a very interesting month and a great one for the industry. Hardware sales are up 73% over this point last year and software sales are up 45%. Hardware-wise, The Wii posted higher than expected numbers and knocked Microsoft off it's one month stay at the top. The 360 continues to post some very solid Halo-fueled numbers. The PS3? Eh....not so much. A couple days ago CEO Howard Stringer said that PS3 sold more than 100k in the last month of October. Given that they only sold 120k all month long, these claims appear to have been proven false, giving spectators reason to believe that the 40 gig hit retail with a thud. Another worrying fact for Sony is that PS2 is finally starting to die down, only 186k in a key shopping month, down from the 250k it was routinely getting earlier this year.
Software-wise, Halo 3 remained the statistical number one, but let there be no doubt that Guitar Hero III was the big winner this month. The Rock Band folks have to be really nervous that this market has been exhausted given Guitar Hero's blockbuster sales. Interestingly, but not surprisingly at this point, 360 got the lion's share of the Guitar Hero sales. PS2 got second (taking into account bundles + stand alone sales), Wii got a very respectable third considering there were no stand alone sales for the system and their bundle was the second best selling.
Other big winners this month include Orange Box which did *much* better than I thought it would, considering the outrageous competition. PSP FF Tactics and 360 Ace Combat also did very respectably and slightly better than I anticipated.
The big losers on the software side are, well, Sony. Guitar Hero III only sold a little over 100k on the PS3, and the biggest disappointment of all was the massively hyped Ratchet and Clank Future, which only pushed 75,000 units. Given that Japanese sales have only been about 100k lifetime and this was a million seller franchise on PS2, Sony is going to lose a ton of money on this title. One has to ponder what the chances of an untested new IP like Uncharted are in this kind of a sales environment. I have to wonder if a lot of PS3 owners are just using their system as a Blu Ray player since these are some god awful sales for a really good game that deserved much better.
Microsoft wasn't immune to "big bomb" syndrome even with it's generally outstanding software sales. Project Gotham Racing 4 sold only an abysmal 38k units, tracking far below the launch title PGR 3. I would chalk this up to releasing PGR so close to the release of other high quality racing games like Forza 2, Dirt, and Need for Speed Pro Street. It is definitely a disappointment for one of Microsoft's high profile first party offerings.
Well, that's it for this month. Can Sony finally turn the corner with it's 40 gig in November? Can Microsoft challenge for the top spot in one of the year's two biggest shopping months? Will Nintendo be able to supply the quantity of units they need to to stay on top? Stay tuned!







